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Heat report highlights growing exposure among infants and older adults

First brief 28 Oct, 1:31 pm IST Updated 28 Oct, 1:31 pm IST 0 developments 3 min read
Heat exposure and protection through shade (concept).
Clarity · AI illustration

Where it stands

Infants and older adults are spending far more time exposed to heatwaves as the climate warms. The Lancet Countdown’s 28 October 2026 report examines this risk across the world. Its findings show why health services must prepare for repeated periods of dangerous heat. The finding concerns exposure to dangerous heat, rather than a count of people who died. Researchers combine the number of vulnerable people with the number of heatwave days they experienced. A large population can therefore produce a high national total even when another country has more heatwave days per person. Worldwide, people aged 65 and above experienced an average of 12.8 heatwave days in 2025. Infants under one experienced 8.7 days. These are global averages, not figures for India alone. Exposure was lower than the record levels of 2024, but remained among the highest measured. For families and health services, the concern is that the people least able to cope face repeated periods of heat. Older adults may have existing illnesses, while infants depend on others to keep them safe. Cooling access, shade and health services prepared for heat can reduce harm. The report measures a growing risk; it does not announce a new Indian benefit or health programme.

Background

The body needs to release heat to keep its internal temperature within a safe range. Hot surroundings make that harder, and high humidity can reduce the cooling achieved through sweating. If heat builds up faster than the body can lose it, organs come under strain. People do not face that strain equally. Age, existing illness, work and housing all affect the ability to cope. Someone with access to a cool room can escape conditions that another person must endure outdoors. Infants also cannot arrange their own protection, so their safety depends on caregivers and suitable surroundings. A heatwave adds duration to the problem. Several unusually hot days can be especially demanding when nights also remain hot. The Lancet indicator therefore counts periods when both daytime and night-time temperatures exceed unusually high local thresholds. Measuring exposure helps identify the scale of the challenge before every consequence appears in hospital records. But exposure is only one part of risk. The indicator does not capture every difference in humidity, neighbourhood conditions or access to cooling. Health planning must combine the broad warning with local information about who needs help and where services are weakest.

How it developed

  1. 28 October 2026: report released
    How it started

    The report distinguishes exposure from illness and death

    The 2026 assessment examines heatwave exposure among infants under one and adults aged 65 and above. Its indicator counts unusually hot days and nights against a local historical baseline. Global exposure in 2025 remained very high despite falling from the 2024 peak. The global averages do not show how many heatwave days each person in India or another country experienced. The results help explain why heat protection must account for age and living conditions.

Why it matters for UPSC

GS3 · Climate changeGS2 · Public health

Connect climate change with unequal health risks and adaptation. Explain why total person-days differ from the number of affected people and exposure per person. Relate heat warnings to housing, public spaces and health-service preparedness.

Key terms

HeatwaveA period of unusually hot weather. Definitions vary according to the purpose and location. This Lancet indicator requires at least three consecutive days with both minimum and maximum temperatures above local historical thresholds. It is not identical to every national weather agency’s warning definition.
Person-days of exposureA measure combining people and time. As an illustration, 100 people exposed for three days produce 300 person-days. That does not mean 300 different people were affected. The measure helps describe the total exposure of a population.
Exposure and health harmExposure means encountering a hazard, such as extreme heat. Harm means an outcome, such as illness or death. More exposure can raise risk, but a person-day total is not a count of patients or deaths. Health, housing and protection also influence the outcome.
Historical baselineA past period used for comparison. This heatwave indicator uses local temperatures from 1986–2005 to identify unusually hot conditions. Comparing with local history allows the analysis to recognise abnormal heat in different climates.
Vulnerable populationA group more likely to suffer harm because of physical, social or environmental circumstances. The indicator focuses on infants under one and adults aged 65 and above. Other groups, including outdoor workers and people with chronic illness, can also face serious heat risks.
Heat adaptationChanges that reduce harm from heat. Examples include shaded public spaces, cooler buildings and health services prepared for extreme temperatures. Adaptation protects people against conditions they face. Reducing greenhouse-gas emissions addresses the longer-term cause of additional warming.
Sources (3)
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