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Japan raises its policy rate to 1.25% from 24 September

First brief 18 Sep, 11:49 am IST Updated 18 Sep, 11:49 am IST 0 developments 2 min read
Bank of Japan, Tokyo; file photo
yt_siden · CC BY-SA 2.0

Where it stands

Japan’s central bank has decided to make short-term borrowing more expensive as it tries to keep inflation stable. On 18 September 2026, the Bank of Japan raised its overnight interest-rate target from 1.0% to around 1.25%. The new target takes effect on 24 September, rather than on the announcement date. The decision passed by seven votes to two. The target concerns overnight borrowing between financial institutions, not a single rate charged on every household loan. As banks face higher funding costs, borrowing for businesses and households can become more expensive. That can slow spending and reduce pressure on prices. Savers may receive better deposit returns, although banks decide their own rates. Existing loan contracts also determine when, or whether, an individual borrower’s payments change.

Background

A central bank cannot set the price of every product. Instead, monetary policy influences the cost of money moving through the economy. Banks lend to one another to meet short-term funding needs. Changing the rate in that market can then influence the rates offered to businesses and households. Cheaper credit can make a new factory, a house purchase or working capital easier to finance. More borrowing and spending can support production, but may also add to inflation. Raising rates works in the other direction: some purchases become less affordable, reducing demand and the pressure to raise prices. The effect takes time and does not make every price fall. The Bank of Japan aims for inflation of 2%, rather than permanently falling prices. Its latest assessment says wage increases and rising costs are increasingly being passed into selling prices. It also identifies expensive crude oil and a weaker yen as sources of price pressure. The bank therefore sees a greater risk of inflation exceeding its target. Even after the increase, it describes financial conditions as supportive of economic activity.

How it developed

  1. 18 September 2026; effective 24 September
    How it started

    A higher overnight target aims to limit inflation pressure

    The policy board chose a 0.25 percentage-point increase in the uncollateralised overnight call-rate target. This is a rise of 25 basis points. The target will be around 1.25% from 24 September. The bank’s separate lending and deposit facilities also change, but those facility rates should not be confused with the main overnight target. The bank says further adjustments depend on how economic activity and prices develop. That is a conditional policy position, not a timetable promising another increase. The decision also does not prescribe a particular exchange rate for the yen.

Why it matters for UPSC

GS3 · Monetary policyGS2 · International developments

For GS3, trace how a policy-rate change travels from bank funding costs to borrowing, spending and inflation. Distinguish a percentage-point increase from a percentage increase. Japan’s decision does not automatically change India’s repo rate or every Japanese loan contract.

Key terms

Policy rateAn interest rate that a central bank uses to influence financial conditions. Japan’s decision targets a short-term market rate. Commercial banks still set the rates on their own loans and deposits, so the policy rate is not everybody’s borrowing rate.
Overnight call rateThe interest rate on very short-term lending between financial institutions. Overnight means the funds are borrowed until the next business day. Uncollateralised means the borrower does not pledge an asset as security for that transaction.
Basis pointA unit equal to one-hundredth of a percentage point. Moving from 1.0% to 1.25% is an increase of 25 basis points. It should not be described as an increase of 0.25% in the original rate.
Monetary transmissionThe process through which a central-bank decision influences bank funding, market rates, borrowing and spending. The effect is not immediate or identical for every borrower. Loan terms and banks’ pricing decisions affect how quickly the change reaches households.
Inflation targetThe rate of price increase a central bank aims to maintain over time. The Bank of Japan’s target is 2%. Meeting that target means prices rise at a stable pace; it does not mean returning all prices to their earlier level.
Monetary tighteningA policy change that makes financial conditions less supportive of borrowing and spending. Higher interest rates can help restrain inflation, but can also make investment or loan-financed purchases harder. A tightening step does not necessarily mean the overall policy stance is already restrictive.
Sources (3)
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